Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001817 0.001928 0.002043 0.002171 0.002310 0.002456 0.002621
2025-04-13 0.001623 0.001776 0.001941 0.002132 0.002348 0.002585 0.002867
2025-04-20 0.001458 0.001632 0.001824 0.002054 0.002322 0.002628 0.003004
2025-04-27 0.001387 0.001582 0.001803 0.002075 0.002402 0.002786 0.003275
2025-05-04 0.001342 0.001557 0.001806 0.002119 0.002506 0.002974 0.003589
2025-05-11 0.001315 0.001549 0.001826 0.002181 0.002631 0.003190 0.003948
2025-05-18 0.001271 0.001516 0.001812 0.002199 0.002700 0.003336 0.004223
2025-05-25 0.001205 0.001453 0.001755 0.002158 0.002688 0.003375 0.004356
2025-06-01 0.001154 0.001405 0.001717 0.002137 0.002699 0.003443 0.004527
2025-06-08 0.001124 0.001382 0.001707 0.002151 0.002758 0.003575 0.004795
2025-06-15 0.001082 0.001342 0.001672 0.002131 0.002766 0.003636 0.004963
2025-06-22 0.001045 0.001307 0.001643 0.002116 0.002780 0.003706 0.005145
2025-06-29 0.000999 0.001261 0.001600 0.002085 0.002776 0.003758 0.005320
2025-07-06 0.000954 0.001214 0.001556 0.002049 0.002764 0.003798 0.005480
2025-07-13 0.000899 0.001152 0.001486 0.001975 0.002693 0.003746 0.005492
2025-07-20 0.000880 0.001138 0.001483 0.001995 0.002759 0.003904 0.005850
2025-07-27 0.000871 0.001136 0.001496 0.002037 0.002861 0.004122 0.006323
2025-08-03 0.000867 0.001141 0.001519 0.002096 0.002990 0.004391 0.006905
2025-08-10 0.000850 0.001128 0.001515 0.002113 0.003055 0.004558 0.007325
2025-08-17 0.000818 0.001091 0.001475 0.002074 0.003028 0.004574 0.007471
2025-08-24 0.000792 0.001064 0.001448 0.002054 0.003030 0.004636 0.007708
2025-08-31 0.000778 0.001053 0.001444 0.002068 0.003089 0.004798 0.008144
2025-09-07 0.000756 0.001028 0.001419 0.002048 0.003090 0.004859 0.008391